NIFL Premiership Round 34

Linfield vs Crusaders analysis

Linfield Crusaders
72 ELO 72
-23.4% Tilt -0.9%
1508º General ELO ranking 1594º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
45.7%
Linfield
28.1%
Draw
26.3%
Crusaders

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
Linfield
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.3%
Win probability
Crusaders
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Linfield
+22%
-9%
Crusaders

ELO progression

Linfield
Crusaders
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Linfield
Linfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 1998
CLI
Cliftonville
0 - 3
Linfield
LIN
43%
27%
30%
72 68 4 0
28 Mar. 1998
LIN
Linfield
1 - 0
Ballymena United
BAL
56%
25%
20%
72 63 9 0
21 Mar. 1998
POR
Portadown
0 - 0
Linfield
LIN
48%
25%
27%
72 68 4 0
07 Mar. 1998
LIN
Linfield
3 - 0
Glentoran
GLE
43%
28%
29%
71 72 1 +1
28 Feb. 1998
OMA
Omagh Town
0 - 3
Linfield
LIN
43%
25%
32%
70 65 5 +1

Matches

Crusaders
Crusaders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 1998
CRU
Crusaders
4 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
73%
17%
10%
72 62 10 0
28 Mar. 1998
COL
Coleraine
0 - 0
Crusaders
CRU
46%
26%
28%
72 66 6 0
21 Mar. 1998
ARD
Ards FC
0 - 1
Crusaders
CRU
31%
27%
42%
72 55 17 0
07 Mar. 1998
CRU
Crusaders
0 - 2
Cliftonville
CLI
67%
20%
14%
72 67 5 0
28 Feb. 1998
BAL
Ballymena United
1 - 0
Crusaders
CRU
35%
26%
39%
72 62 10 0