Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
POR
0 - 0
LIN
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
LIN
0 - 0
ARD
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
GLE
3 - 0
LIN
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1996 |
LIN
0 - 1
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
CLI
0 - 0
LIN
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
CRU
2 - 2
GLE
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
CRU
2 - 1
ZAL
47%
25%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
ZAL
2 - 0
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CRU
3 - 3
POR
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |