Linfield vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
5º
2º
37
4º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
3 - 0
LIN
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
41%
25%
35%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 6
LIN
7%
19%
75%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
25%
26%
50%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
GLE
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
CLI
12%
22%
66%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |