Linfield vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
LIN
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
LIN
7 - 0
WAR
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
LIN
2 - 1
BAL
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIN
13%
22%
65%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
WAR
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
DUN
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
GLE
3 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 4
COL
20%
25%
56%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
DUN
2 - 1
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |