Linfield vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
GLE
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CLI
3 - 3
LIN
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
4 - 3
GLE
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
5 - 1
WAR
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 0
LIN
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 1
GLE
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GLE
0 - 2
BAL
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 2
CLI
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
BAL
72%
17%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
CAR
34%
26%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |