Linfield vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
LIN
8 - 0
MOY
86%
11%
3%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CLI
1 - 1
LIN
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 2
LIN
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 0
INS
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
ARD
3 - 2
NEY
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
ARD
4 - 0
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 2
BAL
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 2
GLE
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARD
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |