Lincoln United FC vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lincoln United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 0
BRI
43%
24%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
LIN
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LIN
2 - 2
CHA
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 1
STA
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
KID
2 - 1
LIN
56%
22%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 4
KID
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
LEE
0 - 2
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
NEW
4 - 0
CHA
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 1
SHE
26%
22%
52%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |