Limerick vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
54%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limerick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
LIM
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LON
1 - 1
LIM
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
LIM
3 - 0
FIN
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
SFI
2 - 1
LIM
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
LIM
2 - 1
WAT
27%
27%
47%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
DER
1 - 1
CAO
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 2
DER
36%
29%
36%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
DER
3 - 0
BRW
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
STP
0 - 2
DER
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
DER
1 - 2
SLR
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |