Limavady vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CRU
1 - 0
LIM
51%
22%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LIM
4 - 0
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
BAN
1 - 0
LIM
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LIM
1 - 0
LAR
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 1
BAL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DUN
4 - 3
INS
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
INS
0 - 5
DER
18%
23%
60%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 2
INS
47%
24%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
INS
2 - 3
LOU
38%
24%
37%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
NEY
2 - 0
INS
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |