Limavady vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
LIM
0 - 3
KNO
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WAR
2 - 0
LIM
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LIM
3 - 1
CAR
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 0
LIM
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LIM
2 - 0
TOB
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
INS
1 - 0
DER
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
LOU
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
INS
2 - 2
ARD
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
INS
2 - 0
HAR
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |