Limavady vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
LIN
4 - 1
LIM
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
LIM
2 - 1
BAL
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
LIM
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LIM
0 - 1
ARD
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
OMA
2 - 5
LIM
47%
24%
28%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
OMA
1 - 3
CRU
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 1
POR
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CRU
0 - 0
LIS
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
LIN
2 - 1
CRU
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 1
CRU
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |