UCL Group G Round 5

Lille vs Salzburg analysis

Lille Salzburg
86 ELO 81
-21.3% Tilt -5%
22º General ELO ranking 531º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.6%
Lille
24.8%
Draw
29.6%
Salzburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
Lille
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.6%
Win probability
Salzburg
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lille
-2%
+20%
Salzburg

ELO progression

Lille
Salzburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2021
MON
Monaco
2 - 2
Lille
LIL
42%
25%
33%
86 84 2 0
06 Nov. 2021
LIL
Lille
1 - 1
Angers SCO
ANG
57%
25%
18%
86 77 9 0
02 Nov. 2021
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 2
Lille
LIL
68%
20%
13%
86 91 5 0
29 Oct. 2021
PSG
PSG
2 - 1
Lille
LIL
70%
18%
12%
86 91 5 0
23 Oct. 2021
LIL
Lille
1 - 1
Stade Brestois
BRE
67%
22%
11%
86 71 15 0

Matches

Salzburg
Salzburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2021
RBS
Salzburg
0 - 0
Admira Wacker
AWM
73%
16%
11%
82 70 12 0
06 Nov. 2021
AUS
Austria Wien
0 - 1
Salzburg
RBS
40%
24%
37%
82 81 1 0
02 Nov. 2021
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 1
Salzburg
RBS
44%
24%
32%
82 85 3 0
30 Oct. 2021
RIE
SV Ried
2 - 2
Salzburg
RBS
22%
22%
56%
82 74 8 0
27 Oct. 2021
SKN
SKN St. Polten
0 - 3
Salzburg
RBS
13%
18%
69%
82 64 18 0