Lille vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
75.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LIL
2 - 1
STR
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
STR
2 - 1
LIL
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 0
LIL
24%
28%
48%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
LIL
1 - 2
REN
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 1
LIL
25%
29%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
REN
2 - 3
PSG
11%
17%
72%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PSG
4 - 0
MPL
87%
10%
4%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
PSG
4 - 2
GUI
87%
10%
4%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
LYO
2 - 1
PSG
29%
22%
49%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PSG
8 - 0
DIJ
89%
8%
3%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |