Lille vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
LIL
3 - 1
REN
59%
24%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 4
LIL
33%
28%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LIL
3 - 0
LMU
65%
20%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
LIL
3 - 1
SLP
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MON
0 - 4
LIL
36%
27%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
GUI
1 - 0
PSG
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PSG
5 - 0
AUB
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 42 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
PSG
4 - 0
GRE
72%
19%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
REN
1 - 0
PSG
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
PSG
1 - 1
LEN
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |