Lille vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 0
LIL
41%
29%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LIL
0 - 2
AUX
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
STR
0 - 1
LIL
36%
29%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
GIR
2 - 0
LIL
58%
25%
18%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
LIL
5 - 0
CAE
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ASN
1 - 0
PSG
44%
28%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
GIR
2 - 1
ASN
60%
24%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
ASN
2 - 1
MET
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASN
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ASN
2 - 0
MON
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |