Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
13%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MPL
0 - 3
LIL
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LIL
3 - 0
GUI
50%
27%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
REN
2 - 0
LIL
37%
29%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 2
NIC
38%
28%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 1
ASN
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LOR
5 - 1
MET
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 3
PSG
8%
17%
75%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 2
CAE
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GIR
3 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |