Lille vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 2
LIL
18%
25%
58%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
ACM
0 - 3
LIL
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LIL
1 - 1
LYO
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
LIL
2 - 2
CEL
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
LOR
0 - 2
NAN
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
DIJ
0 - 0
LOR
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LOR
0 - 1
MAR
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
REI
1 - 3
LOR
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
REN
2 - 0
LOR
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |