Lille vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GIR
2 - 1
LIL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
LIL
0 - 1
AMI
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
LIL
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LIL
1 - 1
MPL
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
NIC
2 - 1
LIL
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GUI
4 - 0
TRO
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 1
GIR
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 0
GUI
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 5
NIC
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ANG
3 - 0
GUI
39%
28%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |