Lille vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
RED
2 - 3
LIL
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
LIL
3 - 0
NÎM
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
TRO
1 - 0
LIL
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
LIL
3 - 3
LMU
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
ASB
1 - 0
LIL
38%
30%
33%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
FCG
1 - 0
AMI
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
FCG
1 - 1
RED
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
NÎM
0 - 0
FCG
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
FCG
1 - 0
TRO
45%
27%
27%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
NIO
3 - 1
FCG
44%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |