Lille vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
0 - 0
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
DIJ
0 - 1
LIL
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 2
LIL
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 3
LIL
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 0
DIJ
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
11%
16%
73%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
PSV
58%
21%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
20%
21%
60%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
AJA
9%
15%
77%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |