Lille vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
60.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
PSG
2 - 0
LIL
78%
14%
8%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LIL
0 - 0
MET
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
VCF
4 - 1
LIL
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
LIL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
LIL
3 - 0
GIR
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 1
HER
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
75%
15%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
CHL
4 - 4
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
ZWO
2 - 4
AJA
8%
15%
77%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 0
FEY
71%
17%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |