Lillestrom II vs Stabæk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
35.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
13º
6º
32
4º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RFK
4 - 0
LIL
64%
17%
19%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
6 - 0
MOS
90%
7%
3%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VER
0 - 4
LIL
24%
20%
56%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
5 - 2
MEL
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BYA
1 - 3
LIL
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Stabæk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
ORK
83%
10%
6%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
MEL
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 7
STA
8%
13%
79%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 5
SKT
66%
17%
17%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RFK
3 - 1
STA
50%
20%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |