Lillestrom II vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2004 |
OSO
1 - 2
LIL
44%
23%
34%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 2
NYB
54%
21%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
ULL
1 - 7
LIL
50%
22%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
LIL
4 - 3
GJO
57%
21%
23%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2004 |
ELV
1 - 1
LIL
19%
21%
60%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
FOL
0 - 0
MOL
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FOL
2 - 0
OSO
56%
21%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
NYB
3 - 1
FOL
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
FOL
4 - 1
ULL
50%
22%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
GJO
1 - 2
FOL
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |