Lille U19 vs Caen U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
10º
4º
60
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 38 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
LIL
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 0
LIL
19%
20%
61%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
LIL
18%
19%
63%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 4
RAP
86%
10%
5%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 3
LIL
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Caen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
RAP
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 4
CAE
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
PSG
12%
18%
70%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 3
CAE
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 3
DKQ
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |