Lija vs Birzebbuga St. Peters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 3
LIJ
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LIJ
1 - 1
MQA
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GUD
1 - 2
LIJ
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
ZAB
1 - 3
LIJ
31%
26%
42%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LIJ
1 - 0
PIE
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Birzebbuga St. Peters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
BIR
0 - 2
MAR
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SAI
3 - 1
BIR
53%
24%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BIR
0 - 1
ZEJ
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
DIN
2 - 1
BIR
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
BIR
0 - 2
RAB
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |