Ligny vs Spy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 2
LOY
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 0
CHE
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LIG
0 - 2
ARQ
55%
22%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BEA
2 - 1
LIG
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LIG
1 - 0
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BEA
1 - 1
SPY
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
NIS
5 - 0
SPY
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SPY
3 - 1
JEM
64%
19%
16%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 5
SPY
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SPY
0 - 2
BIE
30%
23%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |