Ligny vs Union Rochefortoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FOS
0 - 2
LIG
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 2
SPY
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
WEP
1 - 1
LIG
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 2
MOL
42%
22%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 3
LIG
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Union Rochefortoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
4 - 0
MEU
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LOY
3 - 2
ROC
15%
17%
68%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
ANH
90%
8%
3%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 4
ROC
12%
16%
72%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 2
AND
88%
8%
4%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | -1 |