Liga de Quito vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
BSC
1 - 0
LIG
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
LIG
3 - 2
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 0
LIG
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
LIG
5 - 0
ROC
81%
12%
8%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
LIG
2 - 1
BSC
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CIE
0 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 1
UNI
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
VEL
4 - 3
UNI
68%
21%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
SAM
1 - 0
UNI
51%
26%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |