Liga de Quito vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
OLM
2 - 3
LIG
30%
29%
42%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
LIG
4 - 2
IVT
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
3 - 0
LIG
46%
28%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
LIG
2 - 1
BSC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
LIG
3 - 0
RIV
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
UCE
3 - 1
AUC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 2
UCE
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CUE
1 - 2
UCE
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
UCE
2 - 0
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
UCE
4 - 0
ORE
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |