Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 2-2
Liga de Quito vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 1
LIG
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LIG
4 - 2
DEL
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
LIG
2 - 1
ORE
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
LIG
5 - 2
ULC
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
DEL
1 - 1
LIG
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCI
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
GRE
15%
24%
61%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 0
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |