Liga do Sertao U20 vs CSE U20 analysis


7	ELO	11
2.4%	Tilt	-1.4%
19165º	General ELO ranking	16571º
664º	Country ELO ranking	540º
ELO win probability

35.7%

Liga do Sertao U20

21.7%

Draw

42.5%

CSE U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

35.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%

21.7%

Draw

0-0

2.6%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

7.2%

3-3

2.6%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

21.7%

42.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%