Liestal vs Therwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
11%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LAU
1 - 0
LIE
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 2
POR
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BLA
5 - 2
LIE
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 1
MOU
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ALL
1 - 2
LIE
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Therwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FCT
0 - 3
ALL
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LAU
3 - 2
FCT
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 0
NEX
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
FCT
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 5
FCO
51%
23%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |