Liepājas Metalurgs vs Daugava Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 0
FKJ
79%
15%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FCJ
1 - 4
LIE
21%
24%
56%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LIE
7 - 1
JFK
87%
10%
3%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
LIE
6 - 2
GUL
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 1
VEN
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Daugava Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
4 - 1
FKD
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FKJ
4 - 1
FKD
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FKD
1 - 2
VEN
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
FCJ
2 - 0
FKD
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FKD
2 - 2
FCS
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |