Lienden vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lienden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SWZ
0 - 1
LIE
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LIE
1 - 0
EVV
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
LIE
1 - 0
VOL
14%
17%
68%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UNA
2 - 2
LIE
57%
22%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DET
0 - 1
LIE
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
KON
1 - 3
USV
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
USV
2 - 1
HBS
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
HSC
0 - 0
USV
60%
20%
20%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
USV
2 - 1
MAG
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TIE
1 - 1
USV
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |