Liefering vs Hogo Wels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
AUS
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
STU
4 - 2
FCL
20%
22%
57%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 1
SVL
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RAP
0 - 0
FCL
19%
22%
60%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 2
GRA
40%
24%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hogo Wels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
HER
5 - 3
GDF
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LJU
3 - 3
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
HER
5 - 0
WAC
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
WEI
1 - 2
HER
20%
23%
58%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
HER
3 - 3
VOC
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |