Liefering vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
16º
6º
2
10º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
3 | 57 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 56 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 51 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 49 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 49 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 44 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 42 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 39 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 35 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 35 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 35 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 32 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 32 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 29 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 27 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 25% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 1
FCL
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
FCL
0 - 4
SCA
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 0
FEY
24%
21%
54%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
2 - 3
UNT
65%
19%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 0
WAL
79%
14%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
STU
4 - 4
SVS
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
AMS
2 - 0
STU
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
STU
2 - 5
WAC
64%
18%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
STU
4 - 2
MAN
64%
19%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
STU
11 - 2
WEI
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |