Lidköping vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
6º
6º
21
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 42 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 42 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 41 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 35 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 35 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 34 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 31 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 30 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 24 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 23 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 20 |
14º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lidköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AIF
3 - 4
LID
59%
22%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
YIK
0 - 2
LID
24%
20%
56%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LID
0 - 1
FBK
27%
21%
52%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
LID
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LID
2 - 2
STE
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
KUM
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
TIK
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FBK
3 - 1
HER
49%
23%
29%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
STE
46%
22%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
GAU
1 - 2
HER
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |