Lichterfelder vs SV Warnemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
BSC
1 - 1
LIC
33%
25%
41%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
LIC
0 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LIC
0 - 0
PRE
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
SDC
1 - 0
LIC
37%
26%
38%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
LIC
2 - 0
BAK
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SV Warnemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
SVW
0 - 1
FES
25%
24%
50%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
FFC
1 - 1
SVW
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
SVW
1 - 1
KSC
25%
25%
51%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
BSC
2 - 1
SVW
52%
24%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
SVW
1 - 0
GRE
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |