Licata vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
LIC
2 - 1
MDR
84%
11%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
LIC
13%
18%
70%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LIC
4 - 2
MAR
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
USC
2 - 0
LIC
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LIC
4 - 0
STO
86%
10%
5%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CIT
1 - 0
ROC
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CCI
2 - 1
CIT
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 1
MDR
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
STO
0 - 3
CIT
21%
21%
58%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |