Licata vs San Luca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Licata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ACI
2 - 0
LIC
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
LIC
1 - 0
PAT
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LIC
4 - 1
DAT
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CCI
1 - 0
LIC
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
BIA
2 - 0
LIC
20%
20%
60%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LUC
0 - 0
SMC
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 0
USC
50%
21%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAT
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
DAT
0 - 1
LUC
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ROC
2 - 3
LUC
30%
23%
48%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |