National 3 Nouvelle-Aquitaine Round 5

FC Libourne vs Chauvigny analysis

FC Libourne Chauvigny
32 ELO 36
-2.1% Tilt -9.2%
18431º General ELO ranking 8142º
392º Country ELO ranking 260º
ELO win probability
41.5%
FC Libourne
22.7%
Draw
35.8%
Chauvigny

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
FC Libourne
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35.8%
Win probability
Chauvigny
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Libourne
-4%
-38%
Chauvigny

Points and table prediction

FC Libourne
Their league position
Chauvigny
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
47
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Libourne
57
60
100%
Les Genêts d'Anglet
50
53
69.5%
Chauvigny
47
50
69.5%
Pau FC II
42
46
100%
Niort II
38
41
44.5%
Stade Poitevin
36
39
28%
Lège-Cap-Ferret
38
38
31.5%
Chatellerault
37
37
51.5%
Girondins Bordeaux II
35
35
32%
Aviron Bayonnais
10º
34
35
10º
43%
Portes Entre Deux Mers
11º
28
29
11º
100%
CA Neuville
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Guéret
13º
14
14
13º
100%
Stade Montois
14º
6
7
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Libourne
Chauvigny
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Libourne
Chauvigny
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Libourne
FC Libourne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2022
FCP
Pau FC II
2 - 1
FC Libourne
FCL
25%
22%
53%
33 24 9 0
02 Oct. 2022
PED
Portes Entre Deux Mers
2 - 2
FC Libourne
FCL
37%
23%
40%
33 28 5 0
17 Sep. 2022
FCL
FC Libourne
6 - 1
Lège-Cap-Ferret
LEG
35%
24%
41%
30 36 6 +3
04 Sep. 2022
NIO
Niort II
1 - 3
FC Libourne
FCL
56%
21%
23%
29 30 1 +1
27 Aug. 2022
CHA
Chatellerault
0 - 0
FC Libourne
FCL
42%
24%
35%
29 26 3 0

Matches

Chauvigny
Chauvigny
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2022
CHA
Chauvigny
2 - 0
Lège-Cap-Ferret
LEG
45%
23%
32%
35 34 1 0
01 Oct. 2022
CHA
Chauvigny
0 - 1
Chatellerault
CHA
68%
18%
14%
35 25 10 0
17 Sep. 2022
LES
Les Genêts d'Anglet
2 - 4
Chauvigny
CHA
56%
22%
22%
34 38 4 +1
03 Sep. 2022
CHA
Chauvigny
1 - 0
Stade Montois
MON
66%
19%
16%
34 25 9 0
27 Aug. 2022
CNF
CA Neuville
1 - 1
Chauvigny
CHA
53%
22%
25%
33 35 2 +1