African WC Qual. Second Round Round 1

Libya vs Gabon analysis

Libya Gabon
65 ELO 67
-3.3% Tilt -19.5%
2185º General ELO ranking 1922º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.3%
Libya
25.4%
Draw
37.3%
Gabon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
Libya
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.3%
Win probability
Gabon
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Libya
Gabon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Libya
Libya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jun. 2021
LBY
Libya
0 - 1
Sudan
SDN
53%
25%
23%
66 63 3 0
14 Jun. 2021
LBR
Liberia
1 - 0
Libya
LBY
28%
27%
45%
66 59 7 0
28 Mar. 2021
TAN
Tanzania
1 - 0
Libya
LBY
33%
27%
40%
67 61 6 -1
25 Mar. 2021
LBY
Libya
2 - 5
Tunisia
TUN
22%
25%
53%
67 83 16 0
25 Jan. 2021
CGO
Congo
1 - 0
Libya
LBY
43%
28%
30%
69 68 1 -2

Matches

Gabon
Gabon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2021
ANG
Angola
2 - 0
Gabon
GAB
44%
27%
30%
69 70 1 0
25 Mar. 2021
GAB
Gabon
3 - 0
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
COD
27%
26%
47%
68 74 6 +1
16 Nov. 2020
GAM
Gambia
2 - 1
Gabon
GAB
36%
27%
37%
69 65 4 -1
12 Nov. 2020
GAB
Gabon
2 - 1
Gambia
GAM
44%
27%
29%
68 66 2 +1
11 Oct. 2020
GAB
Gabon
0 - 2
Benin
BEN
41%
27%
32%
69 68 1 -1