Libya vs RD Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 0
LBY
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
LBY
0 - 0
SDN
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
IRN
4 - 0
LBY
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
LBY
0 - 1
NGA
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
CMR
1 - 0
LBY
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
COD
2 - 2
TUN
32%
30%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
RSA
2 - 2
COD
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
COD
0 - 0
ZAM
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ZAM
2 - 2
COD
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
COD
2 - 1
CPV
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |