Libertas vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 3
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
DOM
0 - 0
LIB
20%
25%
54%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 2
BOT
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 0
LIB
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
DOM
1 - 3
FOL
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
CAI
0 - 3
FOL
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
BUD
3 - 0
FOL
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 2
BUD
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
FOL
0 - 2
FIO
25%
25%
51%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |