Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
LIB
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
FAE
1 - 2
LIB
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 0
SGI
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 0
MUR
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
LIB
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 5
COS
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
TPE
5 - 2
COS
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 3
COS
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TFI
0 - 1
COS
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
COS
3 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |