Libertas vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
COS
2 - 5
LIB
16%
21%
63%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
TFI
4 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 2
FIO
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 1
TPE
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
FOL
1 - 4
LIB
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
FIO
2 - 2
CAI
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
SGI
2 - 0
CAI
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
FOL
0 - 0
CAI
57%
24%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
CAI
2 - 1
JUV
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CAI
0 - 3
DOM
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |