Torneo Federal B - Transición Final
Global 1-2
Libertad Concordia vs Vélez de San Ramón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LBC
4 - 0
RES
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
RES
0 - 1
LBC
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LBC
3 - 0
IND
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
LBC
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
JGB
0 - 0
LBC
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez de San Ramón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VSR
1 - 1
ABL
57%
21%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
ABL
1 - 2
VSR
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
VSR
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VSR
2 - 1
ATL
14%
21%
65%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | +4 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VSR
2 - 0
IFE
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |