Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
12O
0 - 1
LIB
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 2
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
5 - 0
GUT
81%
13%
6%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AME
0 - 4
LIB
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LIB
0 - 2
CCP
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
LQE
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LQE
0 - 0
12O
55%
25%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
LQE
2 - 1
12O
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LQE
3 - 3
AME
44%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |