Libertad vs Sportivo Ameliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
1º
23
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 46 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 43 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 37 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 36 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 29 |
6º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
76.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 23 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 19 |
12º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
89.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 1
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AME
1 - 2
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
LIB
3 - 0
2DE
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AME
2 - 0
OLI
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AME
0 - 2
2DE
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SPT
0 - 1
AME
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AME
1 - 3
LQE
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |