Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/32
Global 0-4
Libertad vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
LIB
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 2
LQE
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
AME
4 - 2
LIB
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 1
PAL
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
LIB
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 1
HUA
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 0
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
COQ
77%
16%
8%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | +1 |